Description

This analysis provides a forecast of BCH prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2026-01-25 0.005599 0.005917 0.006247 0.006615 0.007015 0.007437 0.007919
2026-02-01 0.005155 0.005629 0.006144 0.006750 0.007445 0.008222 0.009165
2026-02-08 0.004793 0.005347 0.005967 0.006720 0.007618 0.008666 0.009995
2026-02-15 0.004535 0.005143 0.005842 0.006715 0.007789 0.009084 0.010796
2026-02-22 0.004277 0.004915 0.005663 0.006618 0.007823 0.009320 0.011365
2026-03-01 0.004063 0.004722 0.005508 0.006531 0.007852 0.009536 0.011909
2026-03-08 0.003915 0.004599 0.005427 0.006526 0.007975 0.009871 0.012627
2026-03-15 0.003694 0.004373 0.005205 0.006324 0.007824 0.009824 0.012801
2026-03-22 0.003594 0.004293 0.005161 0.006347 0.007968 0.010180 0.013570
2026-03-29 0.003526 0.004248 0.005159 0.006422 0.008183 0.010644 0.014531
2026-04-05 0.003408 0.004134 0.005059 0.006359 0.008200 0.010821 0.015065
2026-04-12 0.003321 0.004057 0.005005 0.006354 0.008294 0.011114 0.015800
2026-04-19 0.003220 0.003959 0.004919 0.006301 0.008320 0.011308 0.016398
2026-04-26 0.003191 0.003955 0.004959 0.006428 0.008614 0.011930 0.017769
2026-05-03 0.003110 0.003877 0.004895 0.006400 0.008675 0.012188 0.018535
2026-05-10 0.003042 0.003814 0.004848 0.006395 0.008767 0.012500 0.019425
2026-05-17 0.002949 0.003714 0.004747 0.006305 0.008721 0.012581 0.019894
2026-05-24 0.002865 0.003624 0.004655 0.006224 0.008684 0.012673 0.020391
2026-05-31 0.002810 0.003572 0.004615 0.006219 0.008767 0.012970 0.021313
2026-06-07 0.002700 0.003440 0.004458 0.006030 0.008544 0.012726 0.021132
2026-06-14 0.002659 0.003406 0.004439 0.006052 0.008664 0.013088 0.022219
2026-06-21 0.002636 0.003393 0.004452 0.006122 0.008867 0.013611 0.023702
2026-06-28 0.002575 0.003327 0.004385 0.006063 0.008850 0.013732 0.024331